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China Ramps Up Central Planning to Stifle Dissent

Posted: 06/26/11 10:41 AM ET

In March, while clamping down on simmering protests in China following the Arab Spring, the Chinese government's top legislator told 3,000 deputies at the National People's Congress that it would brook no challenge to the Communist Party's authority.

"We have made a solemn declaration," stated Wu Bangguo, chairman of the National People's Congress standing committee, in affirming China's "five no's" -- no multiparty elections, no diversity in guiding thought, no separation of powers, no federal system and no privatization.

In the past, the Chinese government had denied that it had a policy of squeezing out the private sector. This unofficial policy, which entrepreneurs dubbed "guo jin min tui" -- literally "the state advances as the private sector recedes" -- has since become a household term that serves the government well: To assert its authority, the government now unabashedly declares that its absolute control of all power centres in Chinese society includes the private sector. China is heading for a degree of government ownership and central planning unseen since Mao's passing.

The extent to which the Chinese government believes that a few people at the top of the government hierarchy can micromanage an economy for 1.4 billion people became clear with the recent release of the government's latest five-year plan. Many governments think they can pick a few winners in their economy. China's central government thinks it can pick 750 of them, and plans to provide them with the support needed to make theirs a self-fulfilling prophesy. More, China thinks it can pick losers -- it found 426 of them -- and will ensure their demise.

The winners include coal mines, perfumes, electric cars, airports and wildflowers. "National champions" and other state-owned companies operating in winning sectors get free land, cut-rate financing, instant approvals, guaranteed domestic markets and expedited stockmarket listings. The losers -- they include companies in disposable foam plastic dinnerware, vertical gas water heaters and cardboard detonators -- get nothing but a date by which they must terminate operations.

China's micromanagers also have a third category -- a kind of purgatory -- for industries that will be tolerated for a while. These include villa-type real estate developments, golf courses, artificial leather, certain types of toothpaste and small versions of the winners -- small coal mines, for example. These tolerated sectors -- typically in the private sector -- will receive no government favours and are expected to disappear over time.

China, disdainful of what it sees as the West's weakling management of its economies, is confidently taking the helm of its own. As put by Premier Wen Jiabao at last year's National People's Congress, "The socialist system's advantages enable us to make decisions efficiently, organize effectively and concentrate resources to accomplish large undertakings."

China's liking for national champions -- state-owned companies that are typically also traded on stock exchanges -- is easily understood. According to one study of the decade ending in 2008, its national champions' assets, sales and R&D expenditures grew on average 25 per cent a year, while their profits grew at an astonishing 40 per cent a year. From the Communist party's perspective, national champions and top-down planning have another advantage -- they provide the party with control that would be impossible if people and industries could act independently.

The architect of China's top-down plan is its National Development and Reform Commission. This all-powerful agency, easily the world's largest planner, itself operates at the very highest levels in the Chinese hierarchy -- directly under the State Council, China's Cabinet. This is the agency that issues the country's five-year plans (the twelfth five-year plan has just begun), that both plans and manages China's economy, and that epitomizes the China model, the envy of much of the world for its readiness to act decisively.

Yet top-down decisive action -- when detached from market demand -- also has large, less-easy-to-measure downsides. China's ghost cities provide the most spectacular example of central planners that got it wrong -- entire cities able to house tens and even hundreds of thousands each that remain mostly deserted years after their completion. Less well known are the high-speed rail lines that run devoid of passengers, the four-lane highways devoid of cars, the airports devoid of planes and the hydro dams devoid of water.

China's signature Three Gorges Dam, the world's largest and once the epitome of the China model, now symbolizes the folly of central planning -a Shanghai daily even called it "that monstrous damming project" -- because it has failed to achieve any of its major goals, including flood control, navigation, and the provision of cheap power. There is, in short, no way of knowing whether the immense gains that central planning conferred on the national champions exceeded the immense costs that central planning imposes on the rest of the economy.

And now China is taking central planning to a new level through guo jin min tui. Through this creeping nationalization of the existing private economy, the Chinese planners expect the winners to absorb many of the small industries in purgatory, adding to the heft of the winners while eliminating the small fry and streamlining the industrial sector. China's planners are taking other steps, too, to ensure that the private sector recedes.

Foreign competitors to China's national champions will generally be restricted by being prevented from operating in China in competition with Chinese companies. The only exception to this rule involves Western companies with technologies that Chinese champions need. In such instances, the Western firm would be allowed in, as a junior partner to the Chinese national champion, on condition that it turn over its technology to China.

Western firms have been accepting China's terms. In high-speed rail, for example, foreign companies such as France's Alstom, Germany's Siemens and Japan's Kawasaki had until recently controlled about two-thirds of the Chinese market. In 2009, the Chinese government changed the rules, requiring them to provide their technology to state-owned Chinese corporations in exchange for the right to bid on future rail projects. These multinationals now account for less than 20 per cent of the Chinese market. The national champions, meanwhile, not only dominate the local market, they are now competing against their junior partners in foreign countries, most recently having won contracts in Australia and New Zealand.

In another example of how the private sector is giving way to state producers, foreign multinationals until recently held 75 per cent of China's wind market. They're now down to 33 per cent or less, having failed to win a central government-funded wind energy project since 2005. China accomplished this feat using sticks and carrots. The big carrot: China offered the stateowned companies' customers lavish subsidies that effectively squeezed out foreign manufacturers. The big sticks: The government slapped a 70 per cent local-content requirement on the foreigners and hiked tariffs on imported components.

Not surprisingly, Western companies -- feeling unwanted -- have begun to pull up stakes in China. Which suits China just fine. Its planners take the goal of guo jin min tui seriously -- the state advances as the private sector recedes.

The question that remains: Will the current helmsmen of the Chinese communist economy fare better than their predecessor, Great Helmsman Mao? The answer may lie in an alternative meaning for guo jin min tui that Chinese citizens understand all too well. The phrase can mean both, "The state advances as the private sector recedes" and "The nation advances as the people fall behind."

Patricia Adams is an economist and the executive director of Probe International, a Toronto-based think-tank.

This article appeared in the Financial Post.

 
In March, while clamping down on simmering protests in China following the Arab Spring, the Chinese government's top legislator told 3,000 deputies at the National People's Congress that it would broo...
In March, while clamping down on simmering protests in China following the Arab Spring, the Chinese government's top legislator told 3,000 deputies at the National People's Congress that it would broo...
 
 
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ConcernedCitizen78
07:37 AM on 06/29/2011
"At some point other countries particular­ly the US/EU are going to outright ban Chinese state-run companies from doing business in both markets; it's already been done to some extent."

How much is this comment based on reality, and how much more on wishful thinking, faith?

Consider what happened in the last two days, not to mention what had happened in the last two years:

"U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao announced business deals between the two countries valued at £1.4 billion ($2.2 billion), as the men discussed ways to increase bilateral trade to $100 billion by 2015." [Wall Street Journal, Jun 28, 2011]

"China and Germany signed deals worth more than $15 billion on Tuesday as the leaders of the world's top two exporters set a target of doubling their annual trade by 2015." [China Daily, Jun 29, 2011]

Any bets the "Chinese state-run companies" are EXCLUDED from these deals?
03:29 PM on 06/29/2011
"U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao announced business deals between the two countries valued at £1.4 billion ($2.2 billion), as the men discussed ways to increase bilateral trade to $100 billion by 2015." [Wall Street Journal, Jun 28, 2011]

How much of this is based on wishful thinking, faith? Consider the EU trade deficit with China that grew to $230 billion last year. Talk is cheap but results are a whole other deal. Do you really think they are going to sit idly by and allow this to continue. The talk about China helping the EU pull out of its economic problems has mostly been based in fantasy (potential) with few real examples aside from Germany where China has benefited a EU nation enough to overcome the trade imbalance, loss of intellectual property, and loss of manufacturing that comes from trading with China. Even then Germany has been hosed of huge amounts of intellectual property.

Chinese state run companies can already be cut out of projects because China is not considered a market economy and local competitors can easily claim these companies have received illegal financial assistance.
07:05 AM on 06/29/2011
At some point other countries particularly the US/EU are going to outright ban Chinese state-run companies from doing business in both markets; it's already been done to some extent. Why give contracts to companies that have stolen your technology and are winning contracts using the money and influence of the Chinese government rather than on merit. At the moment the foreign private sector is supporting decades worth of inefficiency built up in the Chinese public sector; the sooner we pull out the better. Let them try to centrally manage their economy without our markets or support.
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Karma2U
Blessed are the Peacemakers
03:44 PM on 06/28/2011
My prediction - the Chinese people will bring about the fall of the communist regime - just as the people of Poland and Russia did in the 80's.
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ConcernedCitizen78
06:44 PM on 06/28/2011
All civilizations (and economies) rise and fall. If you predict that the sun will burn itself out, you will be proven correct one day if you can be around then. In the meantime, we live on.

Similarly, predictions of China's doom, which is the same as the "fall of the communist regime" in practical terms, have been proffered year after year since the CPC came to power in 1949. However, wishing it were so, like "cutting taxes for the rich will create more jobs", does not make it so.

Here's one view by an author (nom de plume HELIAN):

[quote] China: Daydreams of the Fall
...predictions of China’s doom have become something of a cottage industry for some writers. Gordon Chang, for example, wrote a book in 2001 predicting China’s collapse not later than 2011, and spend the intervening years writing articles proving inductively and deductively that it must be true. China’s leaders apparently didn’t read the book. We have arrived at 2011, and China’s governing class seems to be as alive and kicking as ever.

... However, Rome’s government was similarly unstable during the reign of Augustus Caesar. Somehow she managed to stagger on for another four centuries and more.
[endquote, source: http://helian.net/blog/about/]

Maybe not 400 years. Maybe sooner if the CIA gets more involved.
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Pod-gers
Jeremy Lin = Game Change
12:42 PM on 06/28/2011
Let's not get our ppanties in a bunch over this...

>In March, while clamping down on simmering protests in China following the Arab Spring, the Chinese government's top legislator told 3,000 deputies at the National People's Congress that it would brook no challenge to the Communist party's authority.

"We have made a solemn declaration," stated Wu Bangguo, chairman of the National People's Congress standing committee, in affirming China's "five no's" -- no multiparty elections, no diversity in guiding thought, no separation of powers, no federal system and no privatization.<

Obviously meant for their domestic audience, in order we Americans to understand this, we need an unbiased view of China so we don't get baited.

First we need to understand that New China was founded on the premise of the one party system, the CCP is that party, and to attempt to overthrow the CCP is to attemp to overthrow the PRC.

From the Chinese point of view there is a difference between voicing different opinions and organizing sedition.

Can you imagine any American candidate for public office talking trash about the US Constitution?
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ConcernedCitizen78
08:27 AM on 06/28/2011
I am SO GLAD that, as implied by the author, China is surely heading in the wrong direction - towards economic doom!

As she said: "entire cities able to house tens and even hundreds of thousands each that remain mostly deserted years after their completion. Less well known are the high-speed rail lines that run devoid of passengers, the four-lane highways devoid of cars, the airports devoid of planes and the hydro dams devoid of water."

Wow! Fantastic! It's nice to know the Chinese government is SO INCOMPETENT!

"The extent to which the Chinese government BELIEVES that a few people at the top of the government hierarchy can micromanage an economy for 1.4 billion people became clear with the recent release of the government's latest five-year plan." [emphasis added]

What? FAITH-BASED ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT of a nation? Progress of the last 30 years irrelevant, including the best performance by a major nation even during the GFC?

"Not surprisingly, Western companies - feeling unwanted - have begun to pull up stakes in China."

And yet, "Foreign direct investment in China rose to a record $105.7 billion last year, underscoring confidence that rising incomes will boost demand in the world’s fastest-growing major economy". [source: Bloomberg News, Jan 18, 2011]

Or is this FAITH-BASED NEWS REPORTING?
07:13 AM on 06/29/2011
There was a lot of confidence and investment in America in the lead up to the financial crisis. We all know how that turned out. It's no secret that China is an inflating bubble. To make up for lost demand overseas they've been pumping massive amounts of money into fixed asset investment; not a source of sustainable quality growth. But people get swept in the wow factor forgetting how inefficient many of those investments really will turn out to be. Even the Chinese seem to recognize this pointing to the massive amount of debt taken on by local governments in the last 2 years.

Even members of China's political elite admit most of their economic figures are fudged and in a nation of "saving face" you can bet a lot of garbage has been swept under the rug when the penalties for poor performance are high.
08:24 AM on 06/28/2011
It seems to me that there are certain problems of governance that reflect the size or complexity of the system as much as the specific form of organization. Both China and the US are showing a tendency for the governing class to mismanage and misallocate while paying decreasing attention to the citizenry, which is increasingly treated as an internal enemy.
11:44 PM on 06/27/2011
China may feel they are moving gradually to a more sustainable democracy but if history means anything - the evolution of a democracy is anything but smooth. http://ajitmahadevan.blogspot.com/2011/06/evolution-of-democracy.html
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john frodo
armchair expert
03:10 PM on 06/27/2011
Since 1973 China has a heck of track record, and if you look at Singapore you see more votes for smart dictatorship ism. In Canada and to an even greater extent the USA, government has become all about temporary political victories and damm the consequences. A smart democratic government would be great, oh wait we have one about to be voted out the Ontario Liberals.
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DAE
07:40 PM on 06/26/2011
Actually the title of this piece is correct but in a totally different way than the author intends. Along with a tightening of central economic control (although there are mixed signals in this regard, see http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/06/china-economic-change-gov_n_832116.html ) the government is also initiating social reforms to address pressing issues that could generate popular resistance to the government. These reforms include 1) subsidized low income housing, 2) increases in the minimum wage by as much as 30%, 3) income subsidies for low income workers to help them cope with inflation, 4) public campaigns against corruption, 5) high profile trials of executives accused of food tampering and the production of adulterated drugs, 6) police interventions to force construction companies to pay migrant workers back wages, 7) calls for local governments to stop illegal land seizures and home demolitions, 8) promotion of collective bargaining between government unions and foreign businesses, 9) extension of the relatively new government social security and health insurance systems into more rural areas and expanding benefits, etc. These reforms are definitely meant to stifle dissent by addressing problems of income inequality, corruption, pollution and other abuses that have resulted from the 20 years of economic reform that have mostly benefited urban professionals and entrepreneurs.
08:30 PM on 06/26/2011
I knew all the government policies you mentioned. The Chinese central government must supervise the provincial and local governments better so that all the policies are well implemented, In my opinion China should execute a lot more corrupt officials and those criminals who manufacture unsafe foods. No long sentences for these people( both corrupt officials and unsafe food manufacturers),but swift conviction and execution.
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DAE
01:48 AM on 06/27/2011
Sounds good by me. Wish we could send some of ours over there for the same treatment.
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SimonLeigh
07:17 AM on 06/27/2011
Well said! Yet we're still waiting for China to copy our system of maximising dissent, crushing the middle class and making everyone unhappy. They don't even have a Fox News yet.
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DAE
06:33 PM on 06/26/2011
China is a socialist country with an economic model that differs from capitalism in fundamental ways. Americans are very confused about this. For instance, Sweden, France and Germany are not socialist countries. They are capitalist countries with strong social welfare traditions many pioneered by Bismarck during the reign of German Kaiser Wilheim I. Modern day socialism is an economic system in which the means of production are owned by the State as an embodiment of the people. It does not mean that all production is owned or controlled by the state, that dogmatic interpretation leads to economic stagnation. Socialism in China has shed 70% of the economy but retains control over the direction of economic development and ownership of its commanding heights, i.e. the natural resource, transportation, large scale construction, banking, financial and heavy industrial sectors, etc. China allows market forces to operate but will intervene when necessary to direct economic development towards long-term goals that are delineated by central planning. The Chinese have, however, eschewed a Soviet style command economy. At present there are those in China want to dismantle the socialist system and implement all around capitalism. There are others who want to see a consolidation of socialism and more central control. Politically capitalism favors bourgeois democracy when conditions are favorable and fascism when not. Socialism, at least in underdeveloped countries like China, requires centralized political control. The political debate in China today will determine its future course, a resurgence of socialism or complete capitalist restoration.
07:29 PM on 06/26/2011
An excellent post,DAE. Capitalism and liberal democracy do not necessarily have go together. A good example is Singapore which I call, has an authoritarian meritocracy with capitalism. China has a political system which works reasonably well. I have no objection to the CPC holding monopoly on power.But CPC must do a better job of eliminating the official corruption and wealth gap, if it does not want to lose the "mandate of heaven". China has always has been ruled by authoritarian meritocracy. The last thing China needs is the Western style multi-party democracy in which political process is always dominated by selfish special interest groups at the cost of the collective wellbeing of a country. Take a good look at not only the dysfunctional Western democracies but also "democratic" India and Philippines which are more corrupt and far less efficient than authoritarian China.
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DAE
08:15 PM on 06/26/2011
As I mention in my most recent post here, official corruption, economic polarization and many other developmental issues held center stage during the last session of the People's Congress. If the 12th 5 year plan is implemented as thoroughly and effectively as prior plans many long festering social issues will begin to be addressed. This makes perfect sense even from a cynical Western perspective. We implemented the "New Deal" to save capitalism and it worked for over 70 years. So why shouldn't the CPC be able to implement a "Mew Deal" to save socialism? It should be an easier task as its in line with their underlying ideology, the Maoist slogan of "serve the people" and there is no rearguard political opposition from die hard reactionaries. China has enough resources to significantly raise the living standards of the lower strata while allowing the upper crust to maintain and enhance their status. It only makes sense to do so.
08:37 AM on 06/28/2011
It is true that democracy is "inefficient." Just look at Congress. But in part this inefficiency is designed--instead of decisional power being vested in a king or Central Committee, it is deliberately diffused. This means that feedback from more sources is institutionalized within the system. In an age of rapid travel and instantaneous communication, it is quite easy to imagine China governed by (say) a parliamentary democracy without slipping back into warlordism. I think you may underestimate the Chinese people. It is quite conceivable that they may eventually decide that it is better to have a system with checks and balances to power. Isn't it better to have decisions made with the input of everyone affected than by a small group which tends to be insulated from feedbacks?
03:44 PM on 06/26/2011
The Three Gorges Dam in general did more good than harm. When you find 10 experts who are against the dam, I can find another 20 dam supporters. By building the dam China has reduced a great deal of carbon emissions because China didn't have to build a lot of extra coal-fired power plants. It also has generated a lot more electricity than expected, also contributed a great deal in preventing floods which could have caused not only huge economic damage but also a lot of environmental damage. There is no scientific proof that the dam caussed the 2008 earthquake and recent droughts. If you find 1 expert for this argument, I can find 2 other experts against it. When China joined WTO, it was given a waver that gave China the power to treat it's domestic companies preferentially in govrenment procurement. China also had "indigenous innovation" rule which mandated foreign companies to use certain domestic parts to sell their products in China. But recently the Chinese government said it would treat both domestic and foreign companies equally in government procurement and also do away with the domestic content rule. It is true that China bought the high-speed rail technology from foreign countries but since then China has improved on it, now China has one of the best high-speed rail technologies in the world.
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DAE
07:17 PM on 06/26/2011
Many on the Left in China have great misgivings about economic development in the Three Gorges region. In particular there has been severe criticism of a proposed Bhopal-style refinery in the Three Gorges Economic Development Zone of Chongqing. A translation of a Leftst critique of the project can be found at my blog http://eaststillred.blogspot.com/2011/05/approval-of-basf-mdi-project-in.html Anybody who reads this critique, which can be found at many sites on-line in China, will realize that investigative journalism and criticism of Chinese developmental policies are uncensored and readily available in China. What is proscribed are incitements to overthrow the government. You can call people in the government traitors, capitalist roaders, and stooges of American imperialism as long as you also say that you are really supporting Chairman Mao and the CPC. If you denounce the government as beyond redemption, call for total privatization of the economy, the overthrow of the CPC and its replacement by a multi-party political system you may be accused of sedition and thrown in jail.
07:18 AM on 06/29/2011
You certainly have an interesting perspective on the social movements within China. It's certainly not true that China crushes all dissent; it's very selective in what is allowed and what isn't allowed. I've noticed the central party has not problem passing all the blame to local government and jumps behind protesters against local government. They seem far less tolerant of criticism directed centrally.

Perhaps the aging population will work in their favor. Youthful populations are far more likely to rise up than docile older populations.
02:54 PM on 06/26/2011
Under no circumstances, China should accept the dysfunctional multi-party liberal democracy which is almost always hijacked by selfish special interest groups at the expense of the collective welfare of a country. Just take a good look at what is going on in so-called in the Western democracies. China deserves better than that.
04:12 PM on 06/26/2011
Typo: It should be so-called Western democracies,not "so-called in the Western democracies".
02:16 PM on 06/26/2011
Most of the housing units in all those "ghost cities" have been sold and bought with 100 percent cash. Both real estate developers and home owners have very little bank debt. These empty units will be occupied in the near future considering that more than 10 million people a year move into the Chinese cities. In China all the housing units are built in anticipation of the future demand, Building infrastructure in China also follows the same logic. Railroads and highways are being built for the futute demand not for the present situation. We should remember that the urbanization rate in China is still less than 50%( in developed countries it's about 80%). Those railroads and highways will be utilized fully in due time. There was a New York Time's article a few days ago. Accordindg to this article high- speed trains are fully packed and a lot of people had to wait for many hours before they could get onboard. I'm sure there are some lines which operate at less than full capacity. But there is no doubt the high -speed rail ridership has been increasing a great deal year over year. In this week's issue of The Economist, contrary to what this article implies, Chinese government's share of China's GDP has been declining a great deal over the last 10 years. As a matter of fact, the Chinese government controlled 49% of industrial production in 1999 but it only controlled 27% in 2009.
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DAE
03:11 PM on 06/26/2011
You took the words right out of my mouth.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Aesops
Appearances often are deceiving
02:02 AM on 06/27/2011
The housing boom will not end well in China. Development is always made with the future in mind; it is when the future in mind does not come to pass that problems arise. The point is not that these developments may be occupied. They definitely could be someday, but likely not profitably, and that's the problem. There is less free market about China than there is state control, and this is fueling malinvestment in areas for which there is no timely demand today. If this persists long enough, they will reach an inflection point when investors no longer anticipate future returns. The resulting withdrawal of capital and change in psychology will be more than the Chinese government is able stem with continued forced infrastructure projects.

They are caught in a trap: continue artificial growth and face further inflation pressures or stop and face deflation and dislocation of labour and civil unrest. The fact that China mainly manufactures low margin goods means that lower demand from outside or devaluation in major trade partners currencies (ie Euro) could hasten an end to the current boom.

The need for state control is the achilles heel, and it is only in the past decade that it has not arisen in full force. Capital likes private property rights. When they are shown not to exist, the psychology will turn away from growth and toward the stability of private property rules, and the rule of law.
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02:12 PM on 06/26/2011
I don't know of any centrally planned economy that delivered western levels of prosperity. It will be fascinating to see how this unfolds.

Hopefully without too great of a toll on the Chinese people.
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DAE
03:10 PM on 06/26/2011
China has a mix of central planning and a market driven economy. It is no longer a pure command economy as in the Soviet Union. It will be fascinating to see how this plays itself out in the future. So far its worked in propelling China from being the tenth largest economy in 1970 to the second largest now and mostly likely the largest by at least 2020 if not sooner.
07:26 AM on 06/29/2011
There's a base factor involved. Growing from a peasant economy to mid-industrial economy is one thing taking it to the next level is a whole other deal. The larger the economic base grows the harder it is to maintain that rate of growth. People are projecting the last 30 years onto the next 30 years and that is a huge mistake; many will lose out big time not taking other factors into account like stagnation in exports, aging population, and environmental damage among others.
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DAE
12:23 PM on 06/26/2011
A few observations. One, China is and remains a socialist country ruled by a Communist Party. The Chinese don't make a secret of this. Two, the CPC has always stated that they are using capitalist-style reforms to jump-start the Chinese economy. China has done a very good job of that over the last 20 years. The Left in China is very wary of capitalism overwhelming socialism in China. Already 70% of GDP is generated by the private sector and market forces dominate in many aspects of the economy. The Right has been calling for further privatizations, more market reforms, political diversity, universal values (a code-word for Western concepts of human rights) and a denunciation of Mao. The Left sees this as a direct threat to the legitimacy and legacy of the PRC. They see it as a life and death struggle between capitalism and socialism and are now striking back. You can read some of their polemics translated at my blog The East is Still Red (http://eaststillred.blogspot.com/). Three, the reforms have also generated many problems, an increase in social polarization, corruption, pollution, wage disputes, etc. The 12th 5 year plan addresses these problems with “New Deal” style reforms, housing subsidies for low wage earners, wage increases, collective bargaining between government unions and foreign enterprises, strengthening of the social safety net, environmental controls, alternative energy, increases in safety regulation of foods and drugs, campaigns against government corruption, etc.
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DAE
01:14 PM on 06/26/2011
Just a few more observations. Many critics of China's development point to "ghost cities" and under utilized infrastructure projects. For instance I've driven on empty super highways across Hubei. When I mentioned this to my Chinese traveling companions they said, "come back in 20 years." Also the Left in China is a mixed bag. The Maoist Left while supporting the resurgence of State control of the economy is very critical of unsustainable economic development such as Bhopal-type refineries along the shores of the Three Gorges Reservoir and the introduction of genetically engineered foods into China. It needs to be emphasized that there is a big struggle in China regarding it's future development. The Left is on the upswing with Wu Bangguo's "five no's," the "Chongqing model (Red Song Movement, anti-corruption campaigns) led by up and coming local Party Secretary Bo Xilai and the gala celebrations of the CPC's 90th anniversary. The Right has a lot of influence in Beijing's economic and political "think tanks" (i.e. Mao Yushi's recent denunciation of Mao Zedong) and in the CPC itself (Premier Wen Jiabao). I'm sure they are planning a counter offensive. The political struggle in China, while largely behind the scenes, is extremely intense and complicated by generational, regional and other rivalries. Much of what we see, such as the detention and release of dissidents, the erection and removal of the statue of Confucius in Tiananmen square, is a reflection of this struggle.
01:16 PM on 06/26/2011
Progressives look to China as a wonderful system of government.
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DAE
01:32 PM on 06/26/2011
The vast majority of progressives, conservatives or whomever have no idea about what's going on in China. They read shallow accounts of surface phenomena in the Western press. My comments above were edited down from a much longer and more detailed account that I dashed off in about 15 minutes. Unfortunately each of my posts were more than twice as long as the 250 word limit. China's present government has been 5000 years in the making. Nothing in China makes any sense except though the prism of Chinese history. China's system of government has about as much relevance to the US as the Man in the Moon has to global climate change (some here believe in one or the other). What's interesting is that both countries are grappling with similar problems and divide into similar camps. But China's system of governance reflects it's imperial, authoritarian past and ours reflects the heritage of English common law, the Reformation and the French enlightenment, none of which the Chinese experienced or were aware of until the late 19th century.