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Paul Barter

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IPO or Not, Facebook Let Us Down

Posted: 05/17/2012 2:12 pm

On the eve of the IPO, Facebook couldn't look more different from what we hoped it might someday be. The problem is that no one's happy: Customers are subjected to more and more ads, and the companies who created those ads aren't seeing much of a return on investment.

On the customer side, users don't seem enamored with Facebook Timeline, or the parade of privacy transgressions which have resulted in terrible user satisfaction. Even an informal poll I conducted at a dinner party said that people only "merely tolerate" the site.

Marketers on the site aren't especially pleased either. Paying marketers, that is; As a free-to-use direct line of communication, a brand presence on Facebook is absolutely worth the money. But this tool is still imperfect. Marketers, for instance, aren't able to get feedback on how many of their "fans" have chosen to hide branded messages. Companies that are ponying up money to buy increased exposure aren't finding a great return on investment, and it seems that Facebook's increasingly invasive social ads still aren't as good at producing business results as Google's approach.

While Facebook did an outstanding job of -- and deserves to be applauded for -- keeping the site free of advertisement for so much of its history, now that is has finally "sold out" it seems to be doing so at the expense of the user experience. This is a problem because it's the user experience that brought so many to the site in the first place. This puts the two stakeholder groups -- users and advertisers -- at odds with one another. It doesn't have to be this way, but so far Facebook hasn't found a way to do it right.

But the IPO adds another wrinkle to the equation: a new group of stakeholders, the shareholders, who only care about growth. To keep growing after the IPO, the company only really has three options as it stands: get more users, increase ad effectiveness, or take a slice of every transaction on the site.

With half of all online users already on Facebook, this first approach is tricky. At a certain point, there just won't be anyone else to join the site. When everyone's on the site, the priority becomes reducing attrition -- the job becomes to keep them there, which is hard when users continually feel bitter and alienated.

The second approach, increasing advertising effectiveness, isn't favourable, and would require some large, structural changes to the way Facebook displays ads. Marketer-chosen segments haven't been particularly effective, at least compared to Google AdWords. It's possible that a solution exists here, but so far all of the brilliant talent that money can buy hasn't been able to find it. Poor attempts will eat into the user base and send them along to a competitor or just reduce their engagement.

The third option amounts to becoming an online currency. This will be difficult when the site is trusted so little. This puts Facebook in a very awkward spot -- though to be fair it's a spot they chose to be in. Facebook thought it had two geese on its hands: the user and the advertiser. Now it seems as though it might have killed them both before either could really start to lay those golden eggs.

If we have one piece of advice for Zuckerberg, not that we expect he'll take it, it's this: focus on your nearly one billion users, treat them with respect and keep them happy. If you do that, they'll take care of you.

 

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On the eve of the IPO, Facebook couldn't look more different from what we hoped it might someday be. The problem is that no one's happy: Customers are subjected to more and more ads, and the companies...
On the eve of the IPO, Facebook couldn't look more different from what we hoped it might someday be. The problem is that no one's happy: Customers are subjected to more and more ads, and the companies...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CreepyThinMan
More dapper than Don Draper.
12:53 AM on 05/24/2012
What exactly is the basis of this lawsuit? "We bought a lottery ticket and didn't win, WHAAAA, CALL MY LAWYER!"
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CreepyThinMan
More dapper than Don Draper.
12:51 AM on 05/24/2012
This article is BS and anyone who bought into Facebook is a sucker looking for easy money. HEY, go to a casino and throw your life savings on the table and when you lose try to sue the casino see how far that gets you! These people get what they deserve.
07:43 PM on 05/18/2012
Facebook is a FREE service, people get what they pay for.
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jeremyemilio
My micro-bio is NOT empty
01:45 PM on 05/20/2012
Yeah... but a bunch of idjits just bought 2 Billion + shares of the company for over $30 a pop making the company 'worth' $100,000,000,000... dispite the fact that it is, as you say, 'free' and is unlikely to ever actually see $100,000,000,000 in earnings over the lifetime of the corporation.

So, yeah... I guess you don't ALWAYS get what you pay for...
05:25 PM on 05/20/2012
Wow I just meant that it was a free service for users, who pay nothing to use the site and constantly complain. If you hate Facebook don't use it or be carefull what you put online.  Stocks are different from what I was saying, and I would never have bought into Facebook based on past trends people are only likely to lose money in this investnent. 
04:01 PM on 05/18/2012
Facebook is offered for free, you get what your paying for.
03:26 PM on 05/18/2012
i got over the neophobia regarding the timeline, but advertisers: seriously, if people resent seeing your ads in what they consider to be the relatively private space of their own timeline, or under photos where the comments should appear, they're going to ignore them!
02:27 PM on 05/18/2012
Facebook is a FREE service, you get what you pay for.
02:12 PM on 05/18/2012
People who bought into this IPO are going to regret it. Nowhere to go but down.
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jeremyemilio
My micro-bio is NOT empty
01:49 PM on 05/20/2012
All stocks start at $X and end at $0.

Some win, some lose... but the market in general is always a loser.

The only real 'group' of winners is the group that issues the IPO. You'll note that they didn't take the money from the sale and turn back around and buy back the shares when the stock fell back to (or near) its original price. Why? Because they know that the stock itself is worthless... or they'd never have sold it off in the first place.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
03:33 AM on 05/18/2012
They were not happy enough with millions of dollars and will see the whole thing implode soon enough. Greed before the fall.
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jeremyemilio
My micro-bio is NOT empty
01:51 PM on 05/20/2012
Ha!

Except that 'they' issued the stock and thus 'they' now have the money that was paid for the stock... more money than 'they' ever would have earned in the next half century had 'they' not issued the IPO.

So, yeah... pretty sure 'they' aren't too concerned about the fall.
08:36 PM on 05/17/2012
Do or do not do. There is no gun pointed to your head.
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08:17 PM on 05/17/2012
While Facebook might be a good "internet social tool" to keep in touch with those around you, it is one of the stupidest internet websites. Tons of stalking, gossiping and-worst of all-everything you write and post (images to messages) belong to Facebook to do with the content anything they please. Ive never had one, and never will.
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07:31 PM on 05/17/2012
If you pay nothing for something it means you are not the customer, you are the product.
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arkymorgan
Nobody knows the trouble I've been...
06:05 PM on 05/17/2012
I'm guessing most of us are only waiting for the next big thing to replace it. Chances are, those who buy in will lose their shirts.

What Zuck should do is get moving on the IPO and take the money and run.
05:25 AM on 05/18/2012
That's what he's planning to do already. He's partner's now public denial of his US citizenship to save capital gains tax gives it away.
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jeremyemilio
My micro-bio is NOT empty
01:52 PM on 05/20/2012
Done and done.
05:57 PM on 05/17/2012
For the life of me I will never understand why people feel entitled to FREE Facebook... and complain the minute they start seeing ads or any other attempt to monetize things.

It reminds me of a conversation I had with someone who pays NOTHING for any of the music/TV/movies that they obtain online (via torrenting). I asked him who will cover the production costs of the various media if eventually the majority of people look to unlawful means to access content. He literally looked at me stunned and initially didn't say anything. Then I asked about the people in the distribution chain (from drivers to warehouse employees to retailers to IT service tech people) who are DIRECTLY affected monetarily by all the content being accessed (stolen) online. Once again a dumbfounded look.

If people aren't willing to pay even the most meager amount on a monthly basis to access the level of contact and content that Facebook facilitates then society deserves what it 'gets' in a post-Facebook world.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
03:30 AM on 05/18/2012
those industries only hurt themselves by going digital. If they had left analog alone their business model wouldn't be tanking and copying wouldn't be any worse than before.

Why use a technology that you don't understand, then ask those that do to not use it? Even kids torrent. Even kids = Business Model Fail
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Warren Yuill
Jesus Built My Hot-Rod
06:28 AM on 05/18/2012
Analog HD TV?
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cwebster
predominantly exasperated
10:48 AM on 05/18/2012
Well, in the case of Facebook, they need users to (presumably) purchase what is offered on the site. I find it pointless, and only go there periodically to find old friends (it's good for that). However, it's not a service I would pay for. I mostly find it annoying.