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Raymond Heard

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McGuinty: The Only Man Who Can Stop Trudeau?

Posted: 10/15/2012 9:15 pm

The resignation of Dalton McGuinty as Premier of Ontario, effective on the day his successor is chosen, presents those of us who believe in private enterprise with a very dismal prospect. The way things are going, it seems that Andrea Horwath of the tax-and-spend crypto-socialist New Democratic Party, will win the next Ontario election to become the fifth female premier.

I say this for two reasons. First, I believe that, like his friend and ally, Jean Charest, Mr. McGuinty quit because he could see the writing on the wall. The Liberal reign at Queen's Park is ending with a whimper; the party needs to renew itself in opposition, like its federal counterpart, which is, in fact, near death.

Secondly, I see no chance that Tim Hudak, the Conservative leader, can win, because he clearly lacks the skills -- starting with an instinct for the jugular -- needed to deliver a victory. Maybe -- just maybe -- the Tories will find a way to dump him in favour of Frank Klees, a much more telegenic politician who has effectively crusaded against the scandalous waste of our tax dollars in the ORNGE air rescue service fiasco. Regardless of who leads the Tories, history tells us that Ontarians seldom like to elect a premier who belongs to the same party as the governing party in Ottawa, where Stephen Harper is the ultimate Imperial PM.

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But back to Ms. Horwath. Her on-air skills have vastly improved since the election and she has the advantage of having in her corner the Machiavellian NDP federal leader, Thomas Mulcair, whose guile would complement her affable and collegial image.

Moreover, the federal and Ontario NDP have efficient political machines in Ontario. The enormous downside of a Horwath victory, of course, would be that, except for supporting the concept of a united Canada, her economic and social policies are distressingly similar to those of Pauline Marois, the separatist- socialist who now governs Quebec in the wake of the Charest implosion.

Both leaders believe you can create a Nirvana by imposing higher taxes on the business and professional citizens whose labour create the jobs big governments destroy in their statist zeal. And, importantly, given that McGuinty, the self-proclaimed education premier, declared war on his core supporters, Ontario's badly-rewarded teachers, it's a safe bet they will return to their NDP roots.

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Would Dalton McGuinty Make a Better Federal Liberal Leader Than Justin Trudeau?

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A somewhat brighter outcome of the McGuinty decision could be that, after professing no interest in the job, he will be persuaded by a grassroots movement to run for the position of the eighth leader of the federal Liberals in the last decade. In my view, only a McGuinty candidacy could halt the Justin Trudeau bandwagon in an election next spring open to anyone in Canada -- even Conservative, separatist and socialist moles -- who wish to vote online.

McGuinty is bilingual, relatively young at 57, and is a native of Ottawa, the centre of the Canadian political universe. He knows a lot more about education, health care and fiscal policy than Trudeau, whose positions on these bedrock issues remain -- to be polite, as always -- fuzzy.

Like him or not, McGuinty has actually managed a huge enterprise, Canada's biggest province, whereas the biggest thing Mr. Trudeau has managed is a high school drama class and -- or so he insists -- a Twitter site with some 160,000 fans. McGuinty's other asset would be having a more positive image than Justin Trudeau in Quebec, the one-time Liberal bastion, where Trudeau's leadership announcement -- which got World War III-like headlines and photographs in the Anglo press -- was buried in the French media.

Oh, and by the way, will the Liberal Premier, Christy Clark of British Columbia, please turn off the lights?

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  • <a href="http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/2012.09.10_Premiers_CAN.pdf" target="_hplink">Angus Reid Public Opinion surveyed 6,657 Canadian adults</a> from August 21 to August 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 1.2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

  • Brad Wall - Net Approval +38

    Approve: 66 per cent Disapprove: 28 per cent Not Sure: 6 per cent

  • Alison Redford - Net Approval +18

    Approve: 55 per cent Disapprove: 37 per cent Not Sure: 8 per cent

  • Greg Selinger - Net Approval +7

    Approve: 48 per cent Disapprove: 41 per cent Not Sure: 10 per cent

  • David Alward - Net Approval +3

    Approve: 47 per cent Disapprove: 44 per cent Not Sure: 10 per cent

  • Kathy Dunderdale - Net Approval -15

    Approve: 39 per cent Disapprove: 54 per cent Not Sure: 8 per cent

  • Dalton McGuinty - Net Approval -28

    Approve: 32 per cent Disapprove: 60 per cent Not Sure: 9 per cent

  • Jean Charest (Outgoing) - Net Approval -32

    Approve: 32 per cent Disapprove: 64 per cent Not Sure: 3 per cent

  • Christy Clark - Net Approval -36

    Approve: 28 per cent Disapprove: 64 per cent Not Sure: 8 per cent

  • Darrell Dexter - Net Approval -41

    Approve: 26 per cent Disapprove: 67 per cent Not Sure: 8 per cent

 
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The resignation of Dalton McGuinty as Premier of Ontario, effective on the day his successor is chosen, presents those of us who believe in private enterprise with a very dismal prospect. The way thi...
The resignation of Dalton McGuinty as Premier of Ontario, effective on the day his successor is chosen, presents those of us who believe in private enterprise with a very dismal prospect. The way thi...
 
 
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08:22 PM on 10/17/2012
The only bad thing about MCguilty leaving is the fact that there will be another election and quite possibly a Torie Government. Let's face it McGuilty was basically one of the worst PM's of all time but that being said even he was better than the PC's and as long as people can remember RAY Days in Ontario the NDP are dead.
03:59 AM on 10/17/2012
There is no way someone who just had to step aside due to scandal and turmoil in his ranks as leader is going to take leadership or the Prime Ministers chair away from the dapper boxing golden boy.
02:22 PM on 10/16/2012
If I had to vote today, I'd go for federally Liberal (unless McGuinty was the leader) and NDP provincially (unless the candidate voted yea to reopen the abortion question).
01:24 PM on 10/16/2012
....maybe Jean Charest can contest federal leadership of the Liberals also, now that he has some time on his hands.....
..
..he has some great construction project ideas for Canada along with just the right connections to get them done ......
.
01:20 PM on 10/16/2012
.....McGuinty vs Trudeau...
..
....I take it this would be in the Lightweight Division.
..
...Disgraced Provincial Failure vs the Paris of Hilton of Outremont ...... oh yes .. and they can throw Bob Rae into the mix .... the Former Disgraced Provincial Failure ...
12:41 PM on 10/16/2012
Why are we paying our public educators MORE when the education they provide is worth less. 50 years ago a high school education was enough. The baseline level of skill for most professions is the same, if not less due to technology, but now you HAVE to pay for a private education to get a job, meaning our public educators are worth less to us.
12:35 PM on 10/16/2012
Of all our provincial parties, NDP politics is most capable of compensating for the inherent conservatism of our political system.
12:33 PM on 10/16/2012
\\"[Horwath and Mulcair] believe you can create a Nirvana by imposing higher taxes on the business and professional citizens whose labour create the jobs big governments destroy in their statist zeal."\\

Uhh, no. They believe that the wealthier a corporation or individual is, the more they should invest in making the marketplace more competitive, not less (as the conservatives believe).
12:20 PM on 10/16/2012
As a Liberal, I held my nose and voted Liberal in the last Ontario election to stop Hudek but I must say that I am glad to see McGuinty go. However, I want an election not another slick politician using Harper tactics to hold on to power. He has a deputy Premier so let the government fall and take your hits. I am repulsed by the idea that the conservatives could take power but if that happens, so be it, the abuse of power is far more distasteful to me in the long run.

As for McGuinty running for the leadership of the LPC, he has the right I suppose but he doesn't stand a chance and after such an abysmal record and weaselly squirming out of his role as premier, he should think long and hard about tainting the leadership race because it will only serve to fuel the Harper Inc. propaganda machine. I wouldn't vote for McGuinty ever again, nose held or not.
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James Tanner222
12:20 PM on 10/16/2012
Do you people not see how cute and funny the Conservatives think you are when you squabble between yourself? The difference between a liberal and an new deomocrat is minute. Fight with the right, and Unite. Jesus, its gonna happen eventually so why not do it now so you can at least win the next election?
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James Tanner222
12:16 PM on 10/16/2012
I think it is pretty dumb to argue whether or not Mcguinty could beat out Trudeau as neither of them are a good idea for Prime Minister. But even if I am wrong, the point is moot, because until the Left realizes that it has not won a general election since the Right united, it will not win any elections. A majority of the people in this country, a vast, vast majority are left of centre and there should never, ever, be a right wing majority in this country, especially now that a lot of the old fashioned queen loving old guys are gone. Yeah, I know there is a difference in the NDP and the Liberals, but it is not really that vast and until the Left unites we are left with Dictator Harper and his 33% "Majority", a situation which the pig headed parties (both of whom I vote for and support) cut their losses and unite. Its a national shame, embarrassment and disgrace that it has not happened yet. You would think an automatic majority would be the carrot that would get what is obviously innevitable moving in the right (or should i say left?) direction.
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James Tanner222
12:10 PM on 10/16/2012
I was happy to see Mcguinty resign. I think he was a terrible premier who was more concerned with doing things that looked good and were politically viable than doing any real good. He hid cigarettes behind the counter, eliminated single sale cigarellos and put really gross pictures on the packages of cigarettes. Combined these "efforts" could have paid for a teacher's raise or eliminated homelessness. In reality these efforts had ZERO effect on decreasing smoking, which, considering the money the goverment makes from it, should not be a priority but a necessary evil. Also the price of smoking encourages 100 million per year in black market sales. Obviously, its easy and politically oppertunistic to bash smokers, but really cost vs. reward here is a losing proposition and I just wish people could look at issues logically instead of emotionally. That isn't really possible, but in a leader it should be necessary.
11:41 AM on 10/16/2012
I think that Dalton has burned his bridges with the Ontario electorate (and some of the rest of Canada), but then I though the same about Harper.
11:33 AM on 10/16/2012
You are totally wrong on this.
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Warren Yuill
Jesus Built My Hot-Rod
11:29 AM on 10/16/2012
Dream on dude.
dream on.
Mcquinty is surfing a wave of catastrophy.
And when it breaks over Ontario......
We'll all be in over our heads.