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Steve Lafleur

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The Economic Cost of Idle No More

Posted: 01/17/2013 1:24 pm

Protestors associated with the Idle No More movement disrupted traffic to the Ambassador Bridge Thursday. The disruption was planned from 11a.m. to 2p.m. While disrupting traffic may seem harmless enough, it comes with substantial costs.

While the symbolism of shutting down the bridge will likely have more impact on the movement (potentially to their detriment) than the associated costs, they are worth bearing in mind. First Nations people have a right to be angry about conditions on reserves, and have a right to express their frustration and seek to ameliorate their communities through the political system. But imposing costs on the broader economy is not the way to build sympathy for the cause of First Nations people.

The Ambassador Bridge is the busiest border crossing in Canada, carrying 42 per cent of all of Canada's trade with the United States. More than 8,000 commercial trucks cross each day. According to a study commissioned for the Canadian Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, the cost per hour delay to a trucking company is $40 per hour for each truck.

This includes only the costs of keeping the truck and driver on the road, not the costs of late deliveries and so forth. Not having access to the number of vehicles crossing at each hour, or the degree to which protesters slowed traffic makes it difficult to estimate the direct cost to the trucking industry. As a rough estimate, we'll assume that the three-hour planned disruption slowed traffic by 50 per cent, and that those three hours should have accounted for 20 per cent of daily traffic. That amounts to a 1.5 hour loss for 1600 vehicles.

Moreover, lets assume that another 20 per cent of truck traffic faced one-hour delays (since the backlog at the border takes time to clear), and another 10 per cent faced 30 minute delays, since the effect of prior delays cascades, disrupting later traffic. This would mean that the initial delays accounted for 2,400 hours of lost time, the second wave of delays 1600 hours, and the third wave 400 hours. The total time lost from delays would add up to 4,400 hours. At $40/hour, the direct cost to the trucking industry would amount to $176,000. A full blockade for that duration would have cost well over twice that amount, as delays would have cascaded further.

While $176,000 may not be an earthshattering number, it does not include any costs incurred by companies as a result of delayed deliveries. Assembly line delays can be costly for auto manufacturers for instance. Moreover, it doesn't impute a cost to the value of time lost by Windsor driver, or the cost of having a police presence. But it does highlight the fact that such disruptions are not free. While traffic stoppages don't create the climate of fear that results from protesters smashing in storefronts, they can be more costly under some circumstances. The damage from blockades just happen to be invisible.

First Nations have legitimate channels for protest and for dialogue with the government. They should focus on these avenues, rather than disruptive protests. Otherwise they risk alienating the rest of the public, and undermining their own bargaining position.

 

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12:33 PM on 01/18/2013
The government is where the problem is. Wait for them to bring solutions, and you'll wait forever. The first lesson every child should learn: the government is NOT "of the people, by the people, for the people" and never was. I'm reading The People's History of the US by Howard Zinn. He says from Day One, the US = elites controlling a mass of poor people. With Canada, it's same poop, different country. Harper is just a mouthpiece for the corporations. Nothing has changed since pre-Confederation. But, luckily, the people can and will rise up.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Skookum1
truth can't be bought, but lies sure can be sold..
12:02 PM on 01/18/2013
I had a look at who funds your organization and it's good you are wanting to stay clear of political donations.....but you're interestingly vague on the 78% of the money from "Foundations" who you say "support public policy work in Canada"

http://www.fcpp.org/who_funds_us.php

yeah so who would that be? The Pratt Institute? Certainly not Soros of the Rockefeller Foundation. Who exactly do you mean?

Presuming to be independent without showing us WHO is the bulk of your support is just disingenuous.

Stephen Harper's policies are costing us a LOT more than the temporary slowdowns caused by democratic demonstrations. The bottom line is a lot bigger than your narrow materialist view of this.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
11:35 AM on 01/18/2013
I'm so sick of these smug commentators and "pundits" acting like this or that is going to diminish support for #IdleNoMore ... The economy will be fine. Temporary stops may indeed be costly, but they're ultimately effective at garnering news coverage. At this point, you either agree or you disagree with the movement. Blockades are not "aggressive", they're very sensible forms of protest and point to the issue of land claims. People like Steve here go on tv and talk in newspapers about how disruptive these First Nations protests are and how much the public is turning against them, but they don't see the non-aboriginals who are supporting this movement en masse. Forget what the average, status-quo supporting, Canadian thinks about these protests. #IdleNoMore is working to protect the land for all Canadians and our future. Maybe these businesses who lose money will bring their grievances to the Feds and tell them to deal with this issue more directly.
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Wild Thing
Say What?!
10:30 AM on 01/18/2013
And what would the cost to our democracy be without protests such as Idle No More? Harper lies, manipulates and snakes our democracy enough as it is. I can't imagine what he would be like if everybody stopped paying attention.
08:07 AM on 01/18/2013
I was pretty sure the protest at Ambassador's bridge was not associated with INM. And what do you think about the long-term environmental costs associated with gutting Canada's environmental review process?
01:07 AM on 01/18/2013
Steve Lafleur didn't notice the legitimate channels, and neither did anyone else. For this reason, I can understand the frustration that leads to civil disobedience, even if I don't condone it. Steve also avoids accounting for the cost of not having a habitable planet to live on. Let's put a dollar figure on that one, Steve. Idle No More is about the environment as much as it is about aboriginal funding. Having a suitable, non-toxic place to live is a basic treaty right.
10:55 PM on 01/17/2013
"First Nations have legitimate channels for protest and for dialogue with the government. They should focus on these avenues, rather than disruptive protests." Really, and those would be what? They have tried to get consistent negotiations on treaty rights that are being abused, inspite of the Supreme Courts ruling so that failed. They went into consultation in keeping with the Supreme Court rulings but the government failed to do the same - so one more fail. And on and on and on it goes.....
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bpavich
laughter is medicine for the soul
10:13 PM on 01/17/2013
When Mother nature interrupts traffic aka as storms should we send her the bill? it is winter and storms cost billions of dollars in traffic interruptions and economic disruption are we to blame her?
10:04 PM on 01/17/2013
"In 2008, 10% of the think tank's funding was from corporations with a further 67% from unspecified foundations" Proxy mouthpiece for another neo-liberal front group who won't even say who funds them, because then we'd know they're nothing more than mechanisms for the status quo, "First Nations have legitimate channels for protest and for dialogue with the government." Seriously, cause they have got so far using them up to this point, the fact that the think tanks are trying to spout their biased garbage already is a great sign of how much weight this protest could carry.
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AcunningDisguise
magnus gigas caput
09:29 PM on 01/17/2013
Life on a reserve comes with costs both personal and societal.
The attempt at painting protest as criminal ...noted.
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Harry Bradford
06:15 PM on 01/17/2013
Ambassador Bridge company president Dan Stamper said the economic impact of Wednesday’s mid-day protest was “minimal.” http://blogs.windsorstar.com/2013/01/16/hundreds-march-in-windsor-warn-of-bigger-native-protests-to-come/