After the Liberals won the B.C. election, a single question quickly emerged: How did the pollsters get it so wrong?
Right from the start, after polls closed at 8 p.m. Tuesday, the results were much different than what the pollsters were forecasting.
A May 10 Angus Reid poll showed that 45 per cent of 803 voters surveyed intended to support the NDP, while 36 per cent said they would vote for the Liberals. That was a nine-point overall lead over the Liberals. An earlier Ipsos Reid poll, which surveyed 800 adult British Columbians, found that 43 per cent of surveyed voters were supporting the NDP.
An Ekos poll, with robocall technology, on Monday gave the NDP 40.5 per cent of voter support.
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Jordan M. Deagle
Jermyn K.Y. Voon
Canada Family Action
But almost two hours after polls have closed, the Liberals have 44.7 per cent of the vote, the NDP with 39.1 per cent and the Liberals leading or elected in 52 ridings, with 43 needed for a majority.
Elections in Alberta in 2012 showed a similar pattern, where voters showed second thoughts as the poll deadline got closer. After Tuesday's election, Alberta's premier Alison Redford wrote "welcome to club! Proving the pollsters, pundits & political scientists so spectacularly wrong. Congratulations!"
More Election 2013 Coverage:
This morning, Stars singer Torquil Campbell is railing against the provincial election results in British Columbia, even creating his own "movingtoamerica" hashtag in protest while stating the country "is going to shit."
Eric Grenier analyses what happened last night - and where B.C. goes from here - for Huffington Post B.C.
After all polls were counted, NDP candidate David Eby was elected the riding's MLA with just 785 votes.
Still, it is unlikely the BC Liberals will do anything other than find her a safe riding and generate a by-election very soon.
Jane Shin, the NDP candidate who was at the centre of a controversy over comments made online years before, as well as accusations over her credentials, has been elected as MLA for Bunrnaby-Lougheed.
“My congratulations to Premier Christy Clark on her successful re-election campaign and the formation of a new government, with which I look forward to continuing a positive working relationship. As Mayor, I’m committed to working with the Premier on building the partnerships we need to deliver on Vancouver’s priorities, including strengthening our local economy, ending street homelessness, making housing more affordable, and investing in urgently-needed transit improvements."
"My father would have been 85 today - it's his birthday," Clark said. "he never got to see me in politics."
The newly-elected premier - who has yet to find out if she has won her own seat - thanked the voters and her competing party leaders.
She thanked her friend and advisor, Brad Bennett, to whom she said she would be "eternally grateful."
"Tonight," she said, "we have received a mandate... and together we will make British Columbia better."
She promised to work just as hard for those who did not vote for her, as those who did. She said she and the Liberals worked hard to balance the budget, implement the jobs plan and bring in their vision of a debt-free B.C. from the proceeds of LNG.
"Our future has never been brighter," she said.
Christy Clark has stood to a riotous crowd of supporters at Vancouver's Sheraton Wall Centre, chanting "Christy. Christy."
"We didn't split the vote, we are the vote in Oak Bay-Gordon Head," Andrew Weaver told his supporters tonight. The University of Victoria professor said that campaigning had been a radical departure from his lab bench - and that he was so uncomfortable at the beginning of his campaign, he needed help knocking on doors.
"Tonight," he said. "We've made history. You've made history. We all made history together."
(CREDIT: Theresa Fingler)
B.C. NDP Leader Adrian Dix addresses supporters after the Liberal Party was projected to win a majority government in Vancouver, B.C., on Tuesday May 14, 2013. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck
Asked if he would continue as leader, Dix said he would meet with his caucus and candidates over the coming days and they would decide together where they would go from here.
Dix promises to keep the government accountable. "We have brought change as a party," he says. He says the NDP will continue to fight for a just society, before thanking all the NDP candidates who ran, and congratulates all those candidates of all parties who have won. He says he regrets that participation was not greater, but that the NDP will continue to conduct politics in a positive fashion.
"Never a dull moment in B.C. Politics," he says, before telling his supporters that he has called Christy Clark and congratulated her.
"Sometimes you win and sometimes you lose, and in B.C. sometimes it rains," he says.
Adrian Dix has taken to the stage at NDP party HQ, to cheers of "NDP, NDP".
4 gay MLAs heading back to BC legislature: @mableelmore @SChandraHerbert @mikefarnworthbc @NicholasSimons #BCelxn #BCPoli #CanQueer— Robin Perelle (@RobinPerelle) 2 years ago
NDP down 9 points in Northern Interior. Pipeline? #bcpoli— Kathryn M (@KathrynMarlow) 4 years ago
VANCOUVER - The B.C. Liberals will form a majority government, a stunning upset that has defied months of polling which had the party as many as 18 percentage points behind the NDP before the campaign started.
The Liberals re-elected incumbents, losing few of the seats they held before the election and even stealing some from the NDP they were never expected to win.
BC‽ what the sweet fancy Moses happened‽ #BCelection #bcelxn13— lisafrancez (@lfec77) 2 years ago
Everyone has the knives out for the pollsters - check out our gallery of Twitter reax.
BC Liberal leader Christy Clark and her son Hamish Marrisen-Clark, 11, share a laugh as they watch the results come in on tv of the British Columbia provincial election in Vancouver, B.C. Tuesday, May 14, 2013. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward
Terry Lake re-elected in Kamloops-North Thompson.
Wait, I got it. Pollsters were counting lawn signs. #bcpoli #bcelxn @Global_TV @GlobalBC— Yarko Petriw (@RiskAce) 3 years ago
An NDP supporter reacts while watching provincial election results come in while waiting for B.C. NDP Leader Adrian Dix to address supporters in Vancouver, B.C., on Tuesday May 14, 2013. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck
Christy Clark really is the "comeback kid", says Tony Parsons.
Can't help thinking back to Victoria by-election which appeared like an ndp loss until advance polls came in #bcpoli— Norman Spector (@nspector4) 2 years ago
RT @gwenbarlee: I think mainstream polling as we know it is dead. #bcpoli— C.Wilhelmson (@cwilhelmson) 4 years ago
To celebrate, the BC Liberals threw the environment off the Port Mann Super Bridge. #BCPoli— Brandon Yan (@pre_planner) 2 years ago